XRP price prediction for 2026 from Kalshi has odds of the asset trading above $1.50 this year at 23%, climbing from 18% just yesterday. This renewed optimism comes as Ripple is trading at about $1 per coin, according to CoinGecko.
This is about 72.6% below its July 2025 all-time high of $3.65. The token had a market capitalization of roughly $62.8Bn, ranking sixth among cryptocurrencies, while 24-hour trading volume was about $779M across 152 exchanges and 470 markets tracked by the platform.
The $1 area remains an important reference point in recent XRP trading. While the available evidence does not support a price forecast of $2 or $0.50, it does indicate a market focused on whether XRP can maintain the $1 psychological level, with fund-flow data remaining subdued.
Honestly this is the zone we shouldn’t be missing on $XRP.
Daily candle is looking healthy right on the long term trendline with bullish RSI divergence showing up.
I think taking some risk here makes sense.#DYOR pic.twitter.com/rpDF1IwysS
— Gerla
(@CryptoGerla) August 17, 2026
XRP Price Prediction 2026: Kalshi Odds on Ripple Hitting $1.50 this Year Spikes to 23%
Even with XRP sitting right at $1 and looking dangerously close to losing that key support zone, Kalshi odds of Ripple trading above $1.50 in 2026 rose overnight, from 18% to 23%.
This renewed optimism among bettors doesn’t have an obvious reason but could be tied to the belief that broader market conditions will improve toward the end of 2026, with the expectation that XRP will climb alongside Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market.
Interestingly, 10% of bettors in the same Kalshi market believe that Ripple will hit $2.50 this year, which would require a lot of bullish catalysts to align, such as peace in the Middle East and the CLARITY Act being signed into law.
XRP Price Levels and Recent ETF Flows Slowed in Early August
CoinGlass data show that U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of +$2.25M for the week ending August 14, down 93% from $14.86M just two weeks earlier. The report put net assets at approximately $1.43Bn, compared with about $1.35Bn at the beginning of the month.
Phemex attributed the decline in net assets primarily to XRP’s lower price during the week rather than net fund redemptions, as the weekly flow total remained positive.
The week prior, the XRP ETF data breakdown included a $3.58M outflow on August 5, a $3.45M inflow on August 6, and zero net flow on August 7, highlighting dwindling institutional attention to the asset.
CoinGecko’s August 17 data placed XRP near $1.00, with a 24-hour range of $0.9887 to $1.00 and a seven-day range of $0.9887 to $1.04. That snapshot followed an earlier period described by Phemex, during which XRP tested the $1 level.
Phemex reported that XRP touched $1.01 during the week ending August 8 and did not close a daily session below $1.00 in that reporting period.
The outlet identified $1.05 as a level that had been broken on August 6 and had not yet been reclaimed, while placing the next support zone near $0.92 to $0.95 if XRP were to close below $1.00.
The current evidence supports a narrower conclusion than a long-range price prediction. XRP spot ETFs are trading on major US exchanges; recent cumulative ETF inflows were reported at nearly $1.51Bn, while the week ending August 8 saw a much smaller $1.01M net inflow.
Price data also shows XRP near $1.00, below the $1.05 level highlighted in the early-August report. Whether fund flows strengthen or remain muted is a data point to watch, but the evidence provided does not establish a specific 2026 target of $2, $0.50, or $10.
XRP’s price and ETF-flow data point to a market concentrated around the $1 level. CoinGecko’s August 17 snapshot showed XRP at about $1.00, while Phemex’s report for the week ending August 8 showed positive but sharply reduced ETF inflows.
The available reporting identifies $1.05 as a level not yet reclaimed and $1.00 as the key psychological area tested during that earlier week.
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